Core Time Series (1956–2036)
How companies, people, laws, technologies, genres, and events shaped revenue, artist income, and the fan experience — with a 10-year, four-futures projection. Filled areas = revenue by category ($B, left). Solid/dashed lines and dotted overlays = total gross, fan Experience Index, artist income tiers, catalog, population, and company counts (right, normalized 0–100). Toggle any series in the legend.
Average artist NET income by tier modeled
Top 10% = ≥90th percentile of gross; Mid = 50–90th; Bottom 50% = below median. Net of commissions/recoupment/costs. Log scale. Method: artist_tier_methodology.
Artist catalog & population growth
Catalog tracks and artist population (millions). Anchors: ~100M+ tracks, ~11–12M artists (2023–24).
Companies in-industry by category modeled
Majors consolidated 6→3; distributors and AI vendors exploded. Log scale.
Experience Index components modeled
Access & portability rose steeply; quality, usability, personalization, immersion lagged — so the composite stays near-flat.
Cone of Future Possibilities
Five futures on a cone of plausibility (2026→2036). Marker size = probability. Small solid red = Pow3r without $3.5B (8%, perimeter). Large dotted red outline = Pow3r with $3.5B (26%, probable core). Arrow = capital move. Outer rings (15% fill) = positive impact (market $, UX, artists, innovation).
Probability shift: baseline vs. with $3.5B
Baseline = world without the Pow3r investment; Invested = with the $3.5B. Modeled scenario weights.
From Files to Experiences
US recorded-music revenue mix. Streaming replaced ownership; the fan experience layer barely moved — the Pow3r wedge.
Source: RIAA US Revenue Database (observed). Values USD billions, estimated retail.
Trends
Global market vs streaming
IFPI Global Music Report 2024/2025 (observed).
Streaming share of global revenue
IFPI (observed). Share of total trade revenue.
Projections modeled
Global recorded music to 2030
Observed IFPI + modeled CAGR. Labeled estimates only, not observed.
Paid subscribers to 2030 (M)
Observed IFPI + modeled CAGR.